What is the current YES price?

YES trades at 54¢ and NO trades at 46¢. Prices represent implied probability and range from 0¢ to 100¢.

What does the market pay out?

Each YES share pays $1 USDC if the market resolves YES, $0 otherwise. NO shares are the inverse. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon.

🗳️ Politics ends in 13d 18h

Will the DMK-led alliance win a majority in the 2026 TN Assembly election?

Volume $892.4k Liquidity $104.3k 3127 traders Closes Mon, 04 May 2026 14:00:00 UTC

YES

54¢

46¢

About this market

Tamil Nadu votes on 23 April 2026 for all 234 seats; counting 4 May 2026. Resolves YES if DMK + INC + CPI(M) + CPI + MDMK + VCK alliance wins ≥118 of 234 seats per final ECI result.

Resolution source

results.eci.gov.in

Resolution deadline

Mon, 04 May 2026 14:00:00 UTC

Criteria: Final ECI result shows DMK-led alliance with ≥118 Assembly seats.

Recent activity

live

YES 0x8a…92f1 bought 420 shares @ 54¢

12s ago

NO 0x21…ab03 bought 180 shares @ 46¢

1m ago

YES 0xff…1254 bought 50 shares @ 53¢

3m ago

NO 0xc4…77ae bought 900 shares @ 48¢

4m ago

YES 0x09…1aa3 bought 1240 shares @ 52¢

7m ago

YES 0xa2…ef10 bought 75 shares @ 53¢

12m ago

Top holders

1 0x8a…92f1 YES

12,450 shares

2 0xc4…77ae NO

9,820 shares

3 0x09…1aa3 YES

7,110 shares

4 0xff…1254 YES

5,280 shares

5 0x21…ab03 NO

4,650 shares